July 01, 2023 | Journal Article
  • Intro Text: This paper by PERI researcher Jayati Ghosh follows from a 1974 article by G. C. Harcourt titled "The social consequences of inflation." Harcourt’s article appeared in a period, like the present, of high inflation. But Harcourt highlighted inflation of the 1970s as caused by excessive demand over available supplies with the workforce and stock of capital goods being fully employed. Current inflationary pressures, by contrast, arise from the combination of specific sectoral supply bottlenecks, rising profit margins in oligopolistic global markets for food and fuel, and financial speculation in these markets.
  • Type of publication: Journal Article
  • Research or In The Media: Research
  • Research Area: Economics for The Developing World
  • Publication Date: 2023-07-01
  • Authors:
    • Add Authors: Jayati Ghosh
  • Show in Front Page Modules: No
  • JEL Codes: O19
The Social Consequences of Inflation in Developing Countries

>> Read article published in The Economic and Labour Relations Review

Abstract
The title of this article is a riff off a publication of G. C. Harcourt’s 1974 piece, ‘The social consequences of inflation.’ He wrote this in a period of the global economy that bears some strong similarities to our own contemporary phase when inflation is suddenly back in the global headlines. There is at least one significant difference: at that time, Harcourt highlighted inflation as the outcome of an excess of total demand in real terms over available supplies of goods and services when the potential workforces and existing stocks of capital goods were fully employed. Current inflationary pressures, by contrast, arise from the combination of specific sectoral supply bottlenecks, rising profit margins in oligopolistic global markets for food and fuel and financial speculation in these markets.

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